Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 45% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 22.5% on 28 Aug 2026. $1.5K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 45.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 315.42 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 247.85 |
| evieandlewis | Yes | 200 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-september-2026
New to prediction markets?
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 105 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| fi5h | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
