Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 27 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 19.5% on 1 Sep 2026. $574.55 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 247.85 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-september-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 49.55 |
| fi5h | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| gogogo-v3 | Yes | 5 |
