Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 13 May 2026 and the low 2.6% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 3.1% on 21 May 2026. $1.91K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 12:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 43.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 153.62 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Itlliccaa | Yes | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-may
| Owwwnn | Yes | 15 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 15 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 13 |
| Gaile | Yes | 12 |
| niglette | Yes | 11.61 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 11 |
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