Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 28 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 13% on 18 Jan 2026. $16.02K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 28 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 40.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.14K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.5K |
| Root.user | Yes | 659.64 |
| GojoSatu | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-january
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 364 |
| Pandamonious | Yes | 241.85 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 227 |
| villleus | Yes | 149.56 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 127 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 108 |
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