Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 31 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 20.5% on 1 Jan 2025. $61.59K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 355 points · 31 Dec 2024 – 19 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 27.5% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.26K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.16K |
This is a market on predicting the total number of SpaceX launches scheduled for the year 2025.
Resolution source: https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Chewchewman | Yes | 631.25 |
| paspor | Yes | 592.97 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 440.2 |
| jumpcrypto | Yes | 419.45 |
| Coral Comet C442 | Yes | 400 |
| Violet Summit 602C | Yes | 389.3 |
| Taut-Muffin | Yes | 345.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
