Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 336 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 31 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 1 Jan 2025. $27.24K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 336 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 15.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.26K |
| gandalf | Yes | 7.9K |
| Royal Pioneer 64D8 | Yes | 4.37K |
This is a market on predicting the total number of SpaceX launches scheduled for the year 2025.
Resolution source: https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 934.64 |
| rousseauuu | Yes | 655.31 |
| Taut-Muffin | Yes | 600.74 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| paspor | Yes | 592.97 |
| mohsenfj | Yes | 503.44 |
| Bright Lynx DA96 | Yes | 450.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
