Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4.2% on 5 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 21 Aug 2025. $32.9K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 273 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 29 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 3.5% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.26K |
| Zorik3602 | Yes | 1K |
| manualtesting | Yes | 750 |
This is a market on predicting the total number of SpaceX launches scheduled for the year 2025.
Resolution source: https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| paspor | Yes | 592.97 |
| rated | Yes | 508 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 504.05 |
| DumbMoney1 | Yes | 500 |
| degenerategambler1 | Yes | 400 |
| LuckyMan | Yes | 263.36 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 163 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
