Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 7% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 7% on 8 Aug 2026 and the low 0.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $563.28 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 25 points · 8 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 7.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 286.95 |
| balthazar | Yes | 129.95 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 114 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 43 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 19.4 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-august-2026
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