Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 34.5% on 7 May 2026. $1.83K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 42.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MechaHitlah | Yes | 173.15 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 153.62 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 119.75 |
| niglette | Yes | 58.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-may
| fi5h | Yes | 35.2 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| eran1919 | Yes | 18.5 |
| Gaile | Yes | 15 |
| Fodenn | Yes | 15 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 14 |
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