Analytics
Resolved No on 27 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 25 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 May 2026 to 27 May 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 25 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 8.5% on 26 May 2026. $2.72K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 29, 8:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 May 2026 – 27 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 May 2026 | 55.5% |
| 27 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.44K |
| Macaquinhus | Yes | 99.99 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Colala | Yes | 30.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Open" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-sp-500-spx-open-at-end-on-may-26-2026
| Jazto | Yes | 28.89 |
| jasylum | Yes | 20 |
| silie | Yes | 20 |
| nightcrawler | Yes | 20 |
| TyGrabe | Yes | 19.48 |
| Ordinary-Wiseguy | Yes | 16.56 |
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