Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 19 Jul 2025, the highest close was 10.1% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 19 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points up, to 9.2% on 15 Jul 2025. $6.67K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 19 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 4.5% |
| 19 Jul 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.82K |
| SPECADER | Yes | 188.96 |
| pbobert | Yes | 128.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the country that wins (achieves the highest total team score) the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO). In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team representing USA. If no tied team represents USA, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose country's listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If the 2025 IMO is canceled and no final results are published by August 31, 2025, ET this market will resolve to "Other." The resolutions source will be the final published results from the IMO (https://www.imo-official.org/year_country_r.aspx?year=2025&column=total&order=desc)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/imo-2025-winner-country
| Yes |
| 62.3 |
| nostradamus-markets | Yes | 50 |
| lxland | Yes | 50 |
| ro0k | Yes | 25 |
| draker | No | 0.02 |
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