Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 4% on 27 Jul 2026. $1.52K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 11:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 22.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.78K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 530.59 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 325 |
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
| Yes |
| 130.42 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| balthazar | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 60 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
