Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 17 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 41.03K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
| AABBBAAAA | Yes | 32.27K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 31.75K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 17.75K |
| Grizzled-Meridian | Yes | 10K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.83K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 6.12K |
| KerolynRabar | Yes | 5.75K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
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