Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 25 Jun 2026, the highest close was 52% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 17.5% on 14 Jun 2026. $1.4K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 5:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 25 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 46.5% |
| 25 Jun 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.2K |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 134.5 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 87.01 |
| CloudCactus | Yes | 56.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-worst-placed-caf-nation
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 44.89 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 18.61 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 15 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 8.08 |
| Venimous | Yes | 6 |
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