Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14% on 8 Feb 2026. $7.19K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 12 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 43.0% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 161.18K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 58.88K |
| Lawful-Merit | Yes | 37.54K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 4.45K |
| bamesjond | Yes | 3K |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 2.98K |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 2.88K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 1.74K |
| weather.fanatic | Yes | 1.22K |
| paspor | Yes | 525.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on SOLV Energy’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 11, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/solv-energy-ipo-closing-market-cap
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