
Resolved Yes on 2 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 38% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 2 Oct 2025 and the low 22% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 58% on 2 Oct 2025. $24.06K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 30 Sep 2025 – 2 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 38.0% |
| 2 Oct 2025 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aadvark | No | 668.36 |
| DiversifiedBS | No | 400 |
| WetCheetos | No | 63.56 |
| WobblyWagon | No | 54.36 |
| johnhernandez-397 | No | 41.18 |
| JonhBabetto | No | 40.82 |
| croissant-477 | No | 37.26 |
| AhMowhlisan666 | No | 35.71 |
| piskindrill | No | 32.65 |
| AA9 | No | 18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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