Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 13% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 4 Feb 2026, the highest close was 41% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 13% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 41% on 4 Feb 2026. $34.37K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 4 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 13.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingW | No | 7.5K |
| varondandy123 | No | 3K |
| CrumbHedging666 | No | 1.09K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 215 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| TENETENET | No | 200 |
| PX5300 | No | 59.41 |
| 9735 | No | 50 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| bjprolo | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
