Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 11 Feb 2026, the highest close was 78% on 11 Feb 2026 and the lowest 53.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 78% on 11 Feb 2026. $10.73K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 11 Feb 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 53.5% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingW | No | 2K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 472.03 |
| memester | No | 147.45 |
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| Prize-Motorboat | No | 37.5 |
| Illustrious-Holder | No | 20 |
| Sad-Nation | No | 19.6 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 17 |
| huoda | No | 10 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 9.09 |
