Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 17.5%. Yes opened at 2.1% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 5 Feb 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 5 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 3 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 17.5% on 5 Feb 2026. $85.59K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 5 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 2.1% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nebulainen | No | 10K |
| cappos | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 408 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 207 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 187 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 92 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 91 |
| Sad-Nation | No | 62.5 |
| 9735 | No | 50 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
