Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 8 Oct 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 51% on 7 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 99.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $10.6K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 8 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 51.0% |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HugeMassiveWhale | No | 13 |
| QQQDAN | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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