
Resolved No on 6 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2025 to 6 Oct 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 4% on 2 Oct 2025. $27.09K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 6 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 19.0% |
| 6 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Y.Barwari | Yes | 1.9K |
| 19991 | Yes | 800 |
| HomTanks | Yes | 546.1 |
| MySonsPussi | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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