
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 100% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 58.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 100% on 30 Oct 2025. $13.83K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 58.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aadvark | No | 4.5K |
| Crisp-Step | No | 1K |
| HugeMassiveWhale | No | 23 |
| Diefenbach | No | 10.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| Masterplume | No | 3.7 |