Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 35.5% on 29 Oct 2025 and the lowest 25.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 35.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $31.04K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 25.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maxonder | No | 1.2K |
| flowe | No | 1K |
| jheng | No | 1K |
| WetCheetos | No | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| 0xfarbod | No | 100 |
| 316470 | No | 99.99 |
| bitcoinop | No | 66.67 |
| HugeMassiveWhale | No | 10 |
| CiciK | No | 6.25 |
| Diefenbach | No | 5.23 |
