Analytics
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.2% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 1.2% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. $1.32K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 6:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 1.2% |
| 11 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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