Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 27 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2023 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 70% on 6 Jan 2024 and the lowest 5% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 5% on 1 Feb 2024. $21.68K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 4:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 27 Dec 2023 – 1 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2023 | 50.5% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether $SOL or $ETH will perform better in January, in terms of percentage change in USD prices. The time period for this market starts on January 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and ends on January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The percentage change will be calculated by dividing the coin’s Close Price for the candle titled 31 Jan '24 23:59 (ET) by the coin's Open Price for the candle titled 1 Jan '24 00:00 (ET). Coinbase SOL-USD and ETH-USD will be used for the candles (https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/SOL-USD & https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/spot/ETH-USD). If $SOL relative change is greater than $ETH, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sol-outperform-eth-in-january
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