Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 50 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 5 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 29 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3% on 18 Sep 2025. $5.92K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 2:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 5 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 754.13 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 745 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 488 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Moldovan government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place September 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the incoming government passes a confidence vote and is formally appointed in by the president. If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-next-government-of-the-moldova
| Yes |
| 65 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 61 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 52 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 44 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | Yes | 18 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
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