Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 5 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2025 to 18 Feb 2025, the highest close was 38% on 10 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 12.5% on 14 Feb 2025. $5.18K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 8:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 5 Feb 2025 – 18 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2025 | 12.5% |
| 18 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.43K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 115.16 |
| Flashy-Napkin | Yes | 5.88 |
| eieio | No | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the pvp.trade trading competition. If the competition is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve according to whichever trader was in the lead as of the last official update. If there is a tie for the lead the market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source will be information from pvp.trade (https://x.com/pvp_dot_trade), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pvp-trading-competition-winner
| testeman | No | 0.02 |
| otencrtu | No | 0.01 |
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