Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.2%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 9 Dec 2025 and the low 2.8% on 10 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.8% on 10 Dec 2025. $2.73K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 29 points · 9 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 4.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.91K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 474 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 438.14 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 279 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Visual Effects. In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/critics-choice-awards-best-visual-effects-winner
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 226 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| xueyang | Yes | 164.93 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 158 |
| tuiwens | Yes | 129.06 |
| Kanp | Yes | 45.64 |
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