Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 13.5% on 27 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 22.5% on 24 Jan 2026.
113 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 4:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 52 points · 23 Jan 2026 – 16 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 52.5% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.25K |
| InsiderrrZ | Yes | 5.78K |
| lennysmalls | Yes | 1.02K |
| tradejoe88 | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Sinners" has been nominated for 16 Oscars. This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Sinners" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards. If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-oscars-will-sinners-win
| Trader120 | Yes | 464.56 |
| therunix | Yes | 358.58 |
| unoalef | Yes | 250 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 199.97 |
| Clean-Lord | Yes | 192.76 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 138.02 |
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