
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 51% on 4 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2023 to 1 Apr 2023 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 4 Mar 2023 and the lowest 4% on 28 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 12% on 6 Mar 2023. $71.75K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 4 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2023 | 51.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Comet 5CA4 | Yes | 1.11M |
| asdf1233333 | Yes | 3.15K |
| Amber Orbit C67F | Yes | 3.14K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Silvergate (https://www.silvergate.com/) announces that it will file for bankruptcy, is filing for bankruptcy, or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if any subsidiary of Silvergate announces that it will file for bankruptcy, is filing for bankruptcy, or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the resolution date. For a positive resolution to this market to occur, Silvergate need only announce that it will file for bankruptcy, is filing for bankruptcy, or has filed for bankruptcy by the resolution date, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. An "announcement by Silvergate" must be made through any of their official or verified channels (e.g. https://www.silvergate.com/, etc.), as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Silvergate. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used to determine whether Silvergate has issued such an announcement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-silvergate-announce-it-is-filing-for-bankruptcy-by-march-31-2023
| Yes |
| 975.65 |
| Boring-Joey | Yes | 335.78 |
| Vapid-Caper | Yes | 267.13 |
| Watchful-Love | Yes | 125.65 |
| Shocking-Rations | Yes | 68.56 |
| LetsGo-786 | Yes | 7.69 |
| new-b | Yes | 4.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page