Will “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?

cultureResolved

No, settled Sep 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$10.5K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 15, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.9% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 67 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 15 Sep 2026, the highest close was 21.4% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 2.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $10.54K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 67 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 15 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Jul 2026	4.9%
15 Sep 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.05K
Hjklm	Yes	2.35K
balthazar	Yes	1.2K

10 of 29 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.