Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 1 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 214 daily closes on record from 1 Dec 2023 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 50% on 9 Dec 2023 and the lowest 3.5% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20% on 13 Jan 2024. $7.31K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 214 points, 1 Dec 2023 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2023 | 24.5% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| morninglife | Yes | 8.33 |
| jenniej | No | 5.03 |
| bluesrob | Yes | 2.94 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by June 30, 2024 ET, Shein completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) and the company's market capitalization is $90 billion or more at the close of the first day of trading. In the case of Shein merging with another company, being acquired, or ceasing to exist before the market resolves, this market will resolve to "No". This market can resolve early if Shein completes an IPO and the company's market capitalization is confirmed to be $90 billion or more before June 30, 2024 ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-shein-ipo-at-a-90b-valuation
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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