Will ShchukaRyba win Vidbir 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 7, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.2K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 7, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 16% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 17 Jan 2026 to 7 Feb 2026, the highest close was 16% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 6.5% on 18 Jan 2026. $3.2K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 12:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 7 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Jan 2026	16.0%
7 Feb 2026	2.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.13K
Devoted-Route	Yes	1.19K
EinPilsimWald	Yes	457
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	255.99

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Vidbir 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Vidbir 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Vidbir rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://www.eurovision.com/), including live footage of Vidbir 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/@eurovisionukraine/streams