Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 31% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 5 Aug 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 42% on 8 Feb 2026. $6.9K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 2:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 31.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.39K |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 443.15 |
| cowcat | Yes | 291 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kansas-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 195.59 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 108 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 106.3 |
| animal.bean | Yes | 100 |
| Offbeat-Injoke | Yes | 88.56 |
| Gambleraddict01 | Yes | 67 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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