Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2025 to 2 Mar 2025, the price held at 17.5%. $11.21K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 10:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 2 Mar 2025, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 17.5% |
| 2 Mar 2025 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acrxhd | Yes | 2.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shane Gillis verbally says the word "retarded" during his appearance on Saturday Night Live on March 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any verbal usage of the word "retarded" in any context will count toward the resolution of this market. Any form of the word "retarded" will qualify (e.g. "retard" counts). The resolution source for this market will be official footage of Shane Gillis’ SNL appearance, including the live TV broadcast and recordings published on Saturday Night Live’s official platforms. If Gillis' appearance on SNL is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-shane-gillis-say-retarded-on-saturday-night-live
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