Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 100 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 3 May 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 91.5% on 12 Feb 2026. $9.3K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 4:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 3 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 3 May 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Charming-Jelly | No | 527 |
| HugoErthal1 | No | 181.59 |
| Swift Vector 6BBD | No | 122.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who perform live and in person at the Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 music festival, currently expected to take place in April or May. Appearances during which the listed artist does not perform will not count towards the resolution of this market. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage and information from Todo Mundo no Rio 2026 festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-perform-at-todo-mundo-no-rio-2026
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 62.58 |
| 16r0ob | No | 44.33 |
| SaucePolly1 | No | 30 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 30 |
| wwder | No | 15 |
| ma99 | No | 13.58 |
| hesure | No | 12 |
