Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 42%. Yes opened at 64% on 11 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2025 to 12 Jun 2025, the highest close was 64% on 11 Jun 2025 and the lowest 58% on 12 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 58% on 12 Jun 2025. $3.4K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Jun 2025 – 12 Jun 2025, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2025 | 64.0% |
| 12 Jun 2025 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Pioneer 1007 | Yes | 1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 157.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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