Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 20% on 16 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2023 to 20 Nov 2023, the highest close was 20% on 16 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.5% on 20 Nov 2023. $8.54K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 21, 6:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Nov 2023 – 20 Nov 2023, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2023 | 20.0% |
| 20 Nov 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/margin-in-argentina-presidential-election
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