Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.8K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 26% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 30% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 30% on 27 Feb 2026. $13.83K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 15%–35%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Feb 2026	26.0%
28 Feb 2026	20.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.2K
cassino	Yes	1.64K
clockertime	Yes	544.75
cherubx0	Yes	150

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Sanremo 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Sanremo 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Sanremo rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanremo (https://sanremofestival.info/), including live footage of Sanremo 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.