Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 34% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 46% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.3% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 5.5% on 26 Aug 2026. $195.61 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 2 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 34.0% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 92.33 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in August, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of August at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seoul-in-august-20260728162747993
| Yes |
| 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 4.93 |
| plainfolder | No | 0.01 |
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