Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 4 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 2.4% on 24 Apr 2026. $2.23K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 12:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 4 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| Mani13 | Yes | 342.27 |
| jacass | Yes | 100.14 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 89.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-seoul-in-april
| anx424 | Yes | 70 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 62.98 |
| Hammercup76 | Yes | 52.06 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20.01 |
| ben6768bot | Yes | 7 |
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