Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 15 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2025 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49% on 15 Oct 2025 and the lowest 3% on 8 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 38% on 12 Dec 2025. $16.6K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 15 Oct 2025 – 12 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | 49.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 8.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AiBets | Yes | 5.28K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.25K |
| Royal Sphinx 24A7 | Yes | 264.7 |
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/golden-globes-best-screenplay-motion-picture-winner
| Yes |
| 250 |
| Mediocre-Lot | Yes | 176.23 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 112.15 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 97 |
| leocross02 | Yes | 70.51 |
| Garmonbozia | Yes | 64.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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