Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 7 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 178 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2025 to 23 Jun 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15% on 27 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points down, to 1.7% on 17 Jun 2026. $196.41K traded over the market's life.
135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 24, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 178 points, 7 Dec 2025 – 23 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | 5.5% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 90.53K |
| halomango | Yes | 21.84K |
| Gooooooollllllllll | Yes | 12.38K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-group-i-winner
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 7.37K |
| PMMMR | Yes | 5K |
| Amazing-Hovel | Yes | 5K |
| Doppelpack | Yes | 4.04K |
| leegunner | Yes | 3.84K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 2.43K |
| overlooked | Yes | 2.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
