Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Resolved

Yes, settled Mar 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$186.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 3 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 70%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, the highest close was 70% on 28 Feb 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 52% on 10 Feb 2025. $186.36K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 7:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 25 Jan 2025 – 3 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jan 2025	50.0%
3 Mar 2025	70.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	42.04K
utku	Yes	34.52
Baschtelt	Yes	28.17
Cosmic Horizon B565	No	4.65

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No." If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.