Will Scotland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 10.7% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.8 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026.

49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 5:42 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	6.5%
15 Mar 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	9.54K
leegunner	Yes	1.85K
Assured-Stench	Yes	476.4
rulguk	Yes	360.54

10 of 49 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Six Nations Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Six Nations Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Six Nations Championship is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.sixnationsrugby.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.