Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 56% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 78% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 56% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 73% on 14 Jun 2026. $1.43K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 56.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| easyautomate | No | 125 |
| 60fdsf | No | 31.38 |
| Mojito9 | No | 30.59 |
| mdgc | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to release July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the next official trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day released after market creation. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no new trailers for Spider-Man: Brand New Day have been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the next official trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day from any of the following YouTube channels: https://www.youtube.com/@spiderman/videos https://www.youtube.com/@sonypictures/videos https://www.youtube.com/@marvel/videos https://www.youtube.com/@Sony/videos Reruns or re-releases of previously available trailers will not be considered. Shorts or videos other than trailers for Spider-Man: Brand New Day will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-in-the-next-spider-man-trailer-20260612155048566
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