
Resolved Yes on 13 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 14% on 8 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2024 to 13 Apr 2024, the highest close was 99.4% on 13 Apr 2024 and the lowest 14% on 8 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 70.5% on 12 Mar 2024. $102.21K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 8 Mar 2024 – 13 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2024 | 14.0% |
| 13 Apr 2024 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.29K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-senate-primary-margin-of-victory
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