Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40% on 7 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Apr 2026. $372.24 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 8:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 40.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 333.03 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 15 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Bundesliga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-relegation-survivor
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 5 |
| aHjCz | No | 0.01 |
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