Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 28.5% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 20.5% on 27 Feb 2025. $6.39K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 7:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 5%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 28.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cdm | Yes | 227.52 |
| okidokiok | Yes | 144.46 |
| adasdaw | Yes | 2.08 |
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sam Bankman-Fried (@SBF_FTX) posts/tweets again between February 24, 2025, 9:25 PM ET, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/SBF_FTX.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-tweet-again-by-friday
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 0.03 |
| bignickck | No | 0.01 |
