Will SBF launch a coin before April?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Apr 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$568.4K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 6.5% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. $568.39K traded over the market's life.

135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:14 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Feb 2025	6.5%
1 Apr 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Sbfwillwin	Yes	6.23K
hosseini	Yes	3.71K
DEGEN-647	Yes	3.02K
510	Yes	1.5K

10 of 135 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token between February 24 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.